MX23RW : Friday, January 24 09:37:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
4 - 3
Racing

Lopez (42', 74'), Lemmo (61', 88')
Poiso (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira (4'), Alaniz (52' pen.), Sosa (90+3')
Pereira (30')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Cerro Largo
Thursday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
37.8% (0.64 0.64) 27.38% (-0.136 -0.14) 34.82% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 49.64% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (0.491 0.49)55.93% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (0.399 0.4)77.03% (-0.398 -0.4)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.61799999999999 0.62)28.62% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (0.767 0.77)64.43% (-0.767 -0.77)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)30.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)66.66% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 37.8%
    Racing de Montevideo 34.82%
    Draw 27.37%
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 34.82%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2019 8pm
Progreso
2-1
Racing
Rosso (22'), Sosa (31')
Asconeguy (28'), Andrada (68'), Sosa (75'), Perez (81'), Rosso (83'), Riquero (90')
Sosa (54')
Zazpe (3'), Barrios (45'), Mirabaje (83'), Brasesco (89')
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
3-0
Progreso
Perujo (48'), Barrios (77'), Estol (82')
Estol (93')

Moreira (49'), Viega (91')
Sep 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Racing
2-0
Progreso
Lacoste (16'), Mendez (89')
Muller (46'), Trindade (50'), Ortiz (78'), Rodriguez (82')

Montes (61'), Gottesman (80'), Lemmo (86')
Gottesman (87')
Mar 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
3-0
Racing
Lemmo (34'), Silva (38'), Colman (66')
Gottesman (45')

Araujo (23'), Estol (73')
Estol (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!