Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Racing2 - 0Cerro Largo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Racing de Montevideo and Cerro Largo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Cerro Largo
Friday, March 1 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 1 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro Largo |
38.72% ( 0.02) | 28.2% ( -0.03) | 33.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
