Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 16, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional5 - 2Maldonado
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenix 0-6 Nacional
Wednesday, November 13 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Wednesday, November 13 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
79
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Racing
Tuesday, November 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, November 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
71.32% ( -0.97) | 18.4% ( 0.43) | 10.27% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 42.5% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( -0.32) | 47.38% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( -0.3) | 69.6% ( 0.3) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.03% ( -0.36) | 11.97% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.61% ( -0.76) | 37.39% ( 0.76) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.28% ( 0.88) | 51.72% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.18% ( 0.57) | 85.82% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 71.31%
Deportivo Maldonado 10.27%
Draw 18.4%
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 2-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 71.31% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.4% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.27% |
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Maldonado
0-0
Nacional
Jul 30, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Maldonado
2-1
Nacional
Form Guide
