Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor2 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, February 19 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, February 19 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Boston River
Monday, February 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, February 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensor Sporting | Draw | Penarol |
24.58% ( -0.02) | 27.27% ( -0) | 48.15% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.98% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.56% ( -0.01) | 59.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.19% ( -0) | 79.81% ( 0) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.82% ( -0.02) | 40.18% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.18% ( -0.02) | 76.82% ( 0.02) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( 0.01) | 24.79% ( -0.01) |