MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 10:48:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Penarol

Cerro Largo
0 - 2
Penarol


Viera (40'), Bentaberry (69'), Villar (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saravia (38'), Mendez (70')
Dawson (27'), Alvarez (51'), Saravia (73'), Milesi (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, October 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
22.01% (0.152 0.15) 28.27% (0.18 0.18) 49.72% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 40.14% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.64% (-0.418 -0.42)64.35% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.56% (-0.297 -0.3)83.44% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.44% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)45.56% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.63% (-0.07 -0.07)81.37% (0.071999999999989 0.07)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)26.28% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (-0.473 -0.47)61.4% (0.475 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 22.01%
    Penarol 49.71%
    Draw 28.26%
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.122 0.12)
2-1 @ 4.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.01%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.97% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 15.99% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 49.71%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Penarol
0-1
Cerro Largo

Alvarez (73'), Arias (81')
Tizon (88')
Gianoli (40'), Tizon (89')
Nov 23, 2021 12.45am
Penarol
2-2
Cerro Largo
Alvarez (62'), Rodriguez (68')
Kagelmacher (45+3'), Alvarez (64'), (76')
Kagelmacher (90+9')
Di Yorio (33'), Otormin (45+2')
Rodriguez (42'), Dominguez (64')
Aug 6, 2021 10pm
Cerro Largo
0-1
Penarol

Brasil (52'), Cayetano (90')
Ceppelini (64')
Musto (15'), Alvarez (59'), Pereira (73')
Apr 14, 2021 1.30am
Penarol
4-1
Cerro Largo
A (4', 43'), Torres (30'), Ferreira (60' og.)
Abascal (19')
Estol (20')
Estol (3'), Etcheverry (54'), Beltran (63'), Brasil (64'), Baez (74'), Nunez (87')
Apr 7, 2021 1.30am
Cerro Largo
2-2
Penarol
Estol (72' pen.), Borges (90+5')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
Formiliano (21'), Terans (50')
Pereira (51'), Abascal (56'), Gargano (60'), Freitas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol107211831523
2NacionalNacional107212181323
3Boston RiverBoston River10712169722
4DanubioDanubio10541114719
5Racing de MontevideoRacing10451117417
6Rampla JuniorsRampla104331111015
7Defensor SportingDefensor103431312113
8Miramar Misiones10343811-313
9FenixFenix104151014-413
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers103341213-112
11River PlateRiver Plate103251117-611
12LiverpoolLiverpool10244911-210
13Cerro Largo10235510-59
14CerroCerro10235816-89
15ProgresoProgreso10136512-76
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10028516-112
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!