Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.