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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 4, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 1
River Plate

Brasil (74'), Galletto (90+8')
Viera (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dos Santos (90+5')
Formento (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Torque
Friday, October 21 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawRiver Plate
30.96% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 25.89% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 43.15% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)50.82% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)72.7% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)66.66% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)23.41% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)57.4% (0.1 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 30.96%
    River Plate 43.15%
    Draw 25.88%
Cerro LargoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.15%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 10pm
River Plate
0-5
Cerro Largo

Gianoli (64'), Tizon (71'), Silva (90+1')
Borbas (7'), Lopez (19'), Ocampo (45+1'), Cruz De los Santos (74'), Ergas (89' og.)
Montiel (50'), Borbas (53')
Jul 25, 2022 10pm
Cerro Largo
0-0
River Plate

Romero (57'), Enrique (58'), Max (84')

Alfonso (41'), Borbas (58'), Lavega (72')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
River Plate
1-1
Cerro Largo
Salaberry (27')
Diaz (2'), Borbas (41'), Urreta (58'), Diaz (79'), Brunelli (90+1')
Max (53')
Gianoli (45+4'), Max (45+4'), Garcia (56')
Max (56')
Oct 2, 2021 7.30pm
River Plate
0-4
Cerro Largo
Brasil (8'), Di Yorio (60'), Cayetano (65'), Onetto (84')
Brasil (81')
Jun 6, 2021 9.15pm
Cerro Largo
2-4
River Plate
Otormin (45+3' pen.), Cayetano (64')
Etcheverry (3')
Borbas (18'), Arezo (33', 89', 90+7')
Salaberry (58'), Napoli (70'), Arezo (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol1512213252738
2NacionalNacional15113137112636
3Racing de MontevideoRacing157621610627
4Boston RiverBoston River158251915426
5DanubioDanubio15672147725
6Cerro Largo156451511422
7Defensor SportingDefensor155551717020
8Miramar Misiones154741115-419
9LiverpoolLiverpool154651516-118
10River PlateRiver Plate155371520-518
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers154561520-517
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154471219-716
13FenixFenix154291428-1414
14CerroCerro15267920-1112
15Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado1523101224-129
16ProgresoProgreso15159924-158
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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