Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
50.67% ( -0.42) | 23.35% ( 0.2) | 25.98% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( -0.72) | 42.81% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( -0.71) | 65.22% ( 0.71) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% ( -0.42) | 16.99% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% ( -0.75) | 47.11% ( 0.74) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% ( -0.21) | 29.95% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% ( -0.25) | 66.06% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |