Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hearts4 - 0St Mirren
We said: Hearts 1-2 St Mirren
While we anticipate an improved performance from Hearts in their first game under Critchley, the visitors have had a much stronger start to the season, leading us to believe they will win this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
46.23% ( -0.81) | 24.77% ( 0.08) | 29% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
