MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 01:11:56| >> :600:3972795:3972795:
St Mirren logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Arbroath

St Mirren
4 - 0
Arbroath

Mandron (10'), O'Hara (45'), Nachmani (71', 79')
Boyd-Munce (50'), O'Hara (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Balde (48'), McKenna (67')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Mirren and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Montrose 1-0 St Mirren
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Cowdenbeath (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawArbroath
38.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 26.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 34.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.46% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (0.131 0.13)52.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.111 0.11)74.06% (-0.105 -0.11)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (0.079999999999998 0.08)26.5% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (0.10299999999999 0.1)61.69% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (0.066000000000003 0.07)28.63% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (0.080999999999996 0.08)64.43% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 38.57%
    Arbroath 34.94%
    Draw 26.49%
St MirrenDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%

Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
St Mirren
0-1
Arbroath
Paterson (90+5')
Gold (67')
rhs 2.0
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