Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
14.33% ( 1.57) | 20.52% ( 1.27) | 65.14% ( -2.83) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( -2.01) | 46.68% ( 2.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.06% ( -1.91) | 68.94% ( 1.91) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.59% ( 1.14) | 44.41% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.54% ( 0.91) | 80.46% ( -0.91) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( -1.43) | 13.54% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.39% ( -2.92) | 40.61% ( 2.92) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.33% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.6) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.52% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 4.01% ( -0.56) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.32) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.71% Total : 65.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |