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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Falkirk

Spartans
1 - 2
Falkirk

Henderson (60')
Watson (50'), Russell (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lang (6'), Maciver (88')
Donaldson (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Spartans and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Spartans 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Falkirk

All competitions
Last Game: Falkirk 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Spartans win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Falkirk in this match.

Result
SpartansDrawFalkirk
25.48% (4.516 4.52) 23.41% (1.01 1.01) 51.11% (-5.527 -5.53)
Both teams to score 57.48% (2.303 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52% (0.386 0.39)43.48% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12% (0.378 0.38)65.87% (-0.379 -0.38)
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (4.182 4.18)30.68% (-4.183 -4.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (4.668 4.67)66.94% (-4.669 -4.67)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-1.789 -1.79)17.08% (1.79 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (-3.264 -3.26)47.26% (3.263 3.26)
Score Analysis
    Spartans 25.48%
    Falkirk 51.11%
    Draw 23.41%
SpartansDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.907 0.91)
1-0 @ 6.19% (0.575 0.58)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.699 0.7)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.594 0.59)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.416 0.42)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.401 0.4)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.494 0.49)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.748 -0.75)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-1.216 -1.22)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-3 @ 4.82% (-1.064 -1.06)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.395 -0.4)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.634 -0.63)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 51.11%

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