Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
35.02% ( 0.66) | 27.29% ( 0.25) | 37.7% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 49.94% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.44% ( -0.9) | 55.56% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.27% ( -0.74) | 76.73% ( 0.74) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% ( -0.02) | 30.14% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( -0.02) | 66.29% ( 0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% ( -0.95) | 28.51% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% ( -1.21) | 64.29% ( 1.21) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |