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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Porto

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Porto

Luciano (90+4')
Toure (52'), Pinto (75'), Luciano (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evanilson (55')
Mario (45+10'), Evanilson (45'), Conceicao (45'), Varela (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Gil Vicente 1-3 Porto

While Gil Vicente will be looking to pick up where they left off against Estoril, they face a bogey Porto side whom they have failed to get the better of in 18 of their last 20 meetings. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two teams, we are backing the visitors to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
21.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.82% (0.0010000000000012 0) 56.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.94% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.032000000000004 0.03)45.57% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.027999999999999 0.03)67.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (0.045000000000002 0.05)35.73% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.51% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)45.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 21.07%
    Porto 56.11%
    Draw 22.81%
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.07%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.75%
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.01%
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 56.11%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Porto

Gil Vicente
16.0%
Draw
4.0%
Porto
80.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
2-1
Gil Vicente
Jaime (8'), Eustaquio (90+1')
Conceicao (84'), Wendell (89')
Depu (37')
Carvalho Neto (14'), Gbane (69'), Correia (77')
Feb 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Porto
1-2
Gil Vicente
Taremi (4')
Navarro (27'), Costa (45+2' pen.)
Dec 21, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Porto
2-0
Gil Vicente
Galeno (3'), Taremi (68')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 5
Gil Vicente
0-2
Porto

Carvalho (71')
Taremi (41'), Galeno (44')
Feb 27, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
1-1
Gil Vicente
Evanilson (66')
Mbemba (81'), Cardoso (90+8')
Navarro (62')
Fernandes (68')
Carvalho (2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente185762227-522
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
16AVS182971427-1315
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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