Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Porto |
32.78% | 25.35% | 41.87% |
Both teams to score 55.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.08% | 47.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.9% | 70.09% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% | 27.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% | 63.39% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% | 22.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.52% | 56.47% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |