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Nottingham Forest logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Crystal Palace logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gibbs-White (54')
Yates (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchell (30'), Ward (64'), Guehi (73'), Schlupp (88')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Crystal Palace 1-0 to climb off the bottom of the Premier League table and move to within one point of safety ahead of the winter break.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
41.62% (0.218 0.22) 26.77% (-0.061 -0.06) 31.6% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.191 0.19)54.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.159 0.16)75.59% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (0.20099999999999 0.2)25.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.274 0.27)60.6% (-0.271 -0.27)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 41.62%
    Crystal Palace 31.6%
    Draw 26.77%
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest
30.1%
Draw
24.1%
Crystal Palace
45.8%
216
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Crystal Palace
0-3
Nott'm Forest

Zaha (74'), McCarthy (75')
Majewski (53', 72', 82')
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Crystal Palace

Cunningham (55'), Greening (55'), Moussi (71'), Blackstock (90')
Murray (56')
Jedinak (37'), Zaha (55'), Murray (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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