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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 30, 2022 at 2pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Arsenal
5 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Martinelli (5'), Nelson (49', 52'), Partey (57'), Odegaard (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Nottingham Forest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Arsenal
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Arsenal 2-0 Nottingham Forest

Arsenal facing newly-promoted teams at the Emirates usually only ever ends one way, but the fatigued Gunners can take nothing for granted versus a Forest side who are growing in confidence by the week, especially with Arteta's side consistently failing to keep the opposition at bay at home. However, Cooper is yet to find an answer to his side's profligacy on the road, and a return to familiar turf should be the formula for a welcome three points for Arsenal here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.85%) and 3-0 (12.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawNottingham Forest
78.76% (0.605 0.61) 15.03% (-0.236 -0.24) 6.21% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 35.18% (-1.226 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.434 -0.43)46.43% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.411 -0.41)68.71% (0.413 0.41)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.25% (0.042999999999992 0.04)9.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.55% (0.101 0.1)32.45% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.98% (-1.377 -1.38)61.02% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.84% (-0.696 -0.7)91.16% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 78.75%
    Nottingham Forest 6.21%
    Draw 15.03%
ArsenalDrawNottingham Forest
2-0 @ 16.12% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 13.85% (0.28 0.28)
3-0 @ 12.5% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-0 @ 7.28% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.39% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.32% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 78.75%
1-1 @ 6.84% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 1.97% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.03%
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 1.69% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 6.21%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Nott'm Forest

Arsenal
78.0%
Draw
9.1%
Nottingham Forest
12.8%
296
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 5.10pm
Jan 7, 2018 4pm
Nott'm Forest
4-2
Arsenal
Lichaj (20', 44'), Brereton (64' pen.), Dowell (85' pen.)
Worrall (89')
Mertesacker (23'), Welbeck (79')
Debuchy (84'), Ospina (85'), Mertesacker (86'), Welbeck (86')
Jan 16, 1999 3pm
Aug 17, 1998 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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