Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-21s had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (4.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-21s would win this match.