MX23RW : Friday, November 1 22:03:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Eppleton Colliery Football Ground

Sunderland U21s
6 - 0
Derby U21s

Watson (19', 90+3'), Connolly (26'), Kelly (53' pen.), Rusyn (87'), Jones (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gill (2'), Stepien-Iwumene (42'), Bartley (90+4')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Sunderland Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham U21s 5-2 Sunderland U21s
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Derby U21s 4-1 Wolves U21s
Monday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
54.05% (0.105 0.1) 19.85% (0.07 0.07) 26.11% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 71.41% (-0.465 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.38% (-0.51400000000001 -0.51)25.62% (0.514 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.28% (-0.667 -0.67)45.72% (0.667 0.67)
Sunderland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (-0.143 -0.14)9.99% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.99% (-0.33 -0.33)33.01% (0.329 0.33)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.39 -0.39)20.66% (0.391 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-0.617 -0.62)53.25% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland Under-21s 54.05%
    Derby County Under-21s 26.11%
    Draw 19.85%
Sunderland Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 5.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.76% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.75% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.07% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.26% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.11%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2023 7pm
Sunderland U21s
3-1
Derby U21s
Aouchiche (25'), Taylor (31' pen.), Gardner (80')
Bainbridge (20'), Taylor (45+2')
Brown (60')
Cox (30'), Robinson (38'), Johnson (45+2')
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Aug 21, 2022 1pm
Derby U21s
0-4
Sunderland U21s

Robinson (85')
Thompson (20', 58', 87'), Robinson (72')
Kachosa (26'), Chiabi (36')
rhs 2.0
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