Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 75.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s in this match.