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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 0
Dungannon

Heatley (46'), Lecky (57')
Kennedy (77'), Weir (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 1-2 Crusaders
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-3 Linfield
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
63% (1.269 1.27) 20.15% (-0.502 -0.5) 16.85% (-0.767 -0.77)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (0.947 0.95)40.06% (-0.946 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (0.971 0.97)62.43% (-0.972 -0.97)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87% (0.64999999999999 0.65)12.13% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28% (1.352 1.35)37.72% (-1.351 -1.35)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-0.321 -0.32)37.05% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-0.32 -0.32)73.84% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 63%
    Dungannon Swifts 16.85%
    Draw 20.15%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-0 @ 10% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.204 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.123 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 63%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.85%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Crusaders
3-0
Dungannon
Forsythe (20' pen.), Heatley (56'), Lecky (58')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dungannon
0-2
Crusaders
Lowry (1'), Larmour (48')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
5-1
Dungannon
Heatley (7', 68'), Barr (37' og.), Kennedy (48', 65')
Campbell (45+2')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Dungannon
2-4
Crusaders
Campbell (4'), Gallagher (90+3')
Breen (10'), Knowles (36'), (88')
Lecky (11'), Heatley (25', 80'), Doyle (86')
Thompson (55')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crusaders
4-0
Dungannon
Robinson (24'), Clarke (25'), Kennedy (45+1', 61')
Joe Burns (42'), Weir (80')

McGinty (42'), Quinn (80'), Glynn (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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