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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Portugal national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Poland national football team

Portugal
5 - 1
Poland

Leao (59'), Ronaldo (72' pen., 88'), Fernandes (80'), Neto (83')
Fernandes (25'), Neves (25'), Ronaldo (45+2'), Tavares (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marczuk (88')
Bulka (56')

The Match

Match Report

Five-star Portugal run riot against Poland with five second-half goals to secure their place in the Nations League quarter-finals with 5-1 victory.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for their UEFA Nations League clash at home to Poland on Friday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 0-0 Portugal
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Poland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Poland 3-3 Croatia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawPoland
66.32% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 19.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 13.88% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.18% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.417 -0.42)44.55% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-0.404 -0.4)66.92% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.113 -0.11)12.55% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-0.235 -0.23)38.59% (0.237 0.24)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (-0.393 -0.39)43.77% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (-0.326 -0.33)79.93% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 66.31%
    Poland 13.88%
    Draw 19.81%
PortugalDrawPoland
2-0 @ 11.83% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 66.31%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 19.81%
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.89% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.88%

How you voted: Portugal vs Poland

Portugal
82.5%
Draw
9.1%
Poland
8.4%
274
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Poland
1-3
Portugal
Zielinski (78')
Walukiewicz (45+1'), Frankowski (51'), Piatek (88'), Skorupski (88')
Silva (26'), Ronaldo (37'), Bednarek (88' og.)
Neto (32')
> Match Report
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Portugal
1-1
Poland
Silva (34')
Silva (64'), Mario (90')
Pereira (63')
Milik (66' pen.)
Cionek (11'), Bednarek (28'), Frankowski (78')
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Poland
2-3
Portugal
Piatek (18'), Blaszczykowski (77')
Klich (48'), Krychowiak (62')
Silva (31'), Glik (43' og.), Silva (52')
Silva (37'), Carvalho (67'), Pepe (74'), Silva (78')
Jun 30, 2016 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Poland
1-1
Portugal
(Aggregate 1-1 | Portugal win 5-4 on penalties)
Lewandowski (2')
Jedrzejczyk (42'), Glik (66'), Kapustka (89')
Sanches (33')
Silva (71')
> Match Report
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