Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
56.55% ( 0.07) | 24.19% ( 0.14) | 19.26% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( -0.78) | 53.41% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( -0.66) | 74.94% ( 0.66) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0.27) | 18.75% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -0.45) | 50.14% ( 0.45) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% ( -0.68) | 42.15% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.43% ( -0.6) | 78.57% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.55% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 26 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
22 | Fylde | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
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