Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.