Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.