Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.14% ( 0.05) | 24.82% ( -0.07) | 28.04% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( 0.33) | 47.78% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( 0.31) | 69.97% ( -0.3) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( 0.15) | 20.32% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% ( 0.25) | 52.7% ( -0.25) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.02% ( 0.19) | 30.98% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( 0.22) | 67.29% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 26 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
22 | Fylde | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
> National League Full Table |