Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.