Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.