Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.