Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.