Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.36%) and 3-1 (5.29%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.