Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.