Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.