Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.