Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match.