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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Navarro (68')
Teran (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia have drawn at lot of games in recent weeks and have also drawn their last two encounters with Chicago, but last weekend's victory over NYCFC should give them plenty of confidence to claim maximum points on Thursday. The current league leaders will be firm favourites to beat the lowest ranked MLS side and they should have no problems in securing a routine win on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
48.28% (-0.168 -0.17) 26.47% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 25.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.159 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (-0.245 -0.24)56.18% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (-0.197 -0.2)77.24% (0.2 0.2)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (-0.182 -0.18)23.31% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-0.265 -0.27)57.25% (0.266 0.27)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.24% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)37.76% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.46% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)74.54% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 48.28%
    Philadelphia Union 25.24%
    Draw 26.47%
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.066999999999998 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.24%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia

Chicago Fire
9.5%
Draw
23.8%
Philadelphia Union
66.7%
42
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
Philadelphia

Kappelhof (26'), Omsberg (48'), Sekulic (90+2')
Burke (51'), Glesnes (60')
Monteiro (90+2'), Bedoya (90+6'), Glesnes (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Philadelphia
2-1
Chicago Fire
Przybylko (28' pen.), Burke (65')
Elliott (16'), Fontana (48'), Bedoya (68'), Ilsinho (90+4')
Beric (42')
Beric (45'), Medran (57'), Mihailovic (88')
Calvo (36')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Philadelphia
P-P
Chicago Fire
rhs 2.0
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