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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Toyota Park
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Cincinnati

Przybylko (32'), Czichos (45' pen.), Mueller (46')
Teran (13'), Gimenez (57'), Navarro (65'), Przybylko (90+2'), Pineda (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (8', 87'), Santos (84')
Vazquez (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 FC Cincinnati

 Cincinnati will be confident of hurting any team this season with a front pairing of Vazquez and Brenner. The strikers and the additional goal threat of Acosta in the midfield should be too much for a badly out of form Chicago to cope with, so Noonan's side are strong favourites to collect their third win of the season here.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
49.64% (-0.304 -0.3) 24.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.69% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (0.40000000000001 0.4)48.79% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (0.362 0.36)70.89% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.032999999999987 0.03)19.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (0.053999999999995 0.05)51.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (0.494 0.49)33.36% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (0.538 0.54)69.98% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 49.64%
    FC Cincinnati 25.69%
    Draw 24.66%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.64%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-3
Chicago Fire
Acosta (78'), Vazquez (89')
Hagglund (27')
Duran (56', 75'), Gutierrez (59')
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Duran (83')
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')
Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-1
Cincinnati
Barreal (50')
Barreal (79'), Vazquez (84')
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Chicago Fire

Deplagne (90+6')

Bornstein (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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