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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Chicago Fire

Cincinnati
2 - 3
Chicago Fire

Acosta (78'), Vazquez (89')
Hagglund (27'), Kubo (81')
Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duran (56', 75'), Gutierrez (59')
Pineda (68'), Czichos (90+4'), Navarro (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Cincinnati
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Chicago Fire

 With two games left to play before the end of the regular season, FC Cincinnati need one win to cement their place in the playoffs. They head into the weekend in solid form on home turf and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage to see off the floundering Chicago Fire side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
53.83% (0.324 0.32) 22.51% (-0.137 -0.14) 23.65% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 58.48% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (0.407 0.41)41.2% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (0.414 0.41)63.59% (-0.421 -0.42)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (0.25 0.25)15.3% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98% (0.474 0.47)44.02% (-0.481 -0.48)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.059000000000012 0.06)30.95% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.07 0.07)67.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.83%
    Chicago Fire 23.65%
    Draw 22.51%
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
10
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Duran (83')
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')
Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-1
Cincinnati
Barreal (50')
Barreal (79'), Vazquez (84')
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Chicago Fire

Deplagne (90+6')

Bornstein (90+7')
Aug 26, 2020 12.30am
Chicago Fire
3-0
Cincinnati
Herbers (2'), Medran (10'), Aliseda (67')
Medran (61')

Pettersson (36'), Amaya (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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