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Manchester City logo
Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Crystal Palace logo

Man City
0 - 2
Crystal Palace


Silva (45+5'), Ederson (45+6')
Laporte (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaha (6'), Gallagher (88')
Ayew (27'), Gallagher (65'), Guaita (86')

Preview: Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester City will seek to bounce back immediately from their EFL Cup heartbreak when they welcome Crystal Palace to the Etihad Stadium for Saturday's Premier League encounter.

The champions currently occupy third spot in the table after nine games, while draw specialists Palace are down in 15th following four successive stalemates.


Match preview

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts on October 16, 2021© Reuters

If any side was going to break Brighton & Hove Albion's defensive resilience, it was free-scoring Man City, who chalked up a quartet of goals on the South Coast to ease to a 4-1 victory over Graham Potter's men last weekend.

Phil Foden bagged a brace while Ilkay Gundogan and Riyad Mahrez also found the back of the net at the Amex Stadium, with Alexis Mac Allister's penalty proving to be little more than a consolation for the home side.

However, Foden went from hero zero as City's quest of an unprecedented fifth EFL Cup crown in succession came to an end in midweek, with the England starlet failing to convert from 12 yards as West Ham United advanced to the quarter-finals.

Pep Guardiola certainly has bigger fish to fry than the EFL Cup, though, as third-placed City seek to keep the pressure on Liverpool and Chelsea, who are one and two points ahead of them in the top three of the table respectively.

Now unbeaten in eight Premier League games since their opening-day defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, City's tally of 12 goals on home soil is the second-best record in the league behind Chelsea's 16, and they are the only team in the division yet to concede on familiar territory so far this term.

Crystal Palace manager Patrick Vieira pictured on October 18, 2021© Reuters

Crystal Palace were not involved in midweek EFL Cup action following their August defeat at the hands of Watford, which has given Patrick Vieira ample time to figure out a way to end his side's run of stalemates in the Premier League.

After sharing the points with Brighton, Leicester City and Arsenal, the Palace faithful harboured hopes of a long-awaited win when Christian Benteke put them ahead against Newcastle United, but Callum Wilson equalised just nine minutes later in the second half to force another stalemate for Palace.

The Eagles' failure to convert one point into three has bedevilled them in the past few weeks, and Vieira's side currently sit 15th in the Premier League as a result but are five points clear of the dotted line, despite claiming just one win so far this season.

Finding the back of the net is not the problem for Vieira's crop - who have scored in six of their last seven Premier League games - but failure to shut up shop at the other end has seen them concede 10 goals away from home already this season - not a good omen before a daunting trip to the home of the champions.

Palace did prevail at the Etihad as recently as December 2018 - thanks in no small part to Andros Townsend's thunderbolt - but City won both fixtures in the 2020-21 season by an aggregate score of 6-0, including a 4-0 success on home soil.

Manchester City Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Crystal Palace Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Manchester City's Riyad Mahrez celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on October 23, 2021© Reuters

City continue to cope without Ferran Torres as he works his way back from a foot fracture, but Guardiola otherwise has no fresh injury concerns to work around for this contest.

The likes of Ruben Dias, Aymeric Laporte and Joao Cancelo are all set for recalls to the first XI, although next week's crunch matches with Club Brugge and Manchester United must be taken into account here.

Mahrez and Raheem Sterling should drop to the bench as Gabriel Jesus and Jack Grealish return out wide, with Foden continuing as the focal point of attack after his strong showing at the Amex.

As for Palace, long-term victims Eberechi Eze and Nathan Ferguson are making progress in their recoveries but are not ready to return just yet, and the visitors did not report any further issues from the draw with Newcastle.

Wilfried Zaha took his spot on the bench for that encounter after recovering from illness - with Michael Olise earning a deserved start in his place - but the Ivorian should certainly make the first XI this time.

There should be no further surprises in the Eagles' XI, with Conor Gallagher holding his spot in the engine room alongside James McArthur and Luka Milivojevic.

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo; Silva, Rodri, De Bruyne; Jesus, Foden, Grealish

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Andersen, Guehi, Mitchell; McArthur, Milivojevic, Gallagher; Edouard, Benteke, Zaha


SM words green background

We say: Manchester City 3-0 Crystal Palace

Palace's inability to keep the back door shut away from home is once again set to contribute to their downfall this weekend, especially with City running riot at the Etihad so far this term.

There is no doubting the youthful talent in Vieira's ranks at Selhurst Park, but we cannot see any shocks happening on the blue side of Manchester.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 5.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 4-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Man City vs Crystal Palace

Manchester City
87.7%
Draw
5.3%
Crystal Palace
7.0%
187
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Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola and his coaching staff celebrate with the EFL Cup on February 25, 2018
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Man City's exceptional EFL Cup record under Pep Guardiola
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
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