MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:23:39| >> :60:543:543:
FC Cincinnati
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 28, 2024 at 10.45pm UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
New York City

Cincinnati
1 - 0
NY City

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sands (41'), Moralez (82')
Gray (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 NY City
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture over the years, and we can see Tuesday's clash following suit.   That said, we are backing the home side to emerge victorious in front of their fans and put themselves in the driving seat to go through to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
51.71% (-0.509 -0.51) 22.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 26.1% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 62.39% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)37.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.17 -0.17)14.62% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)42.72% (0.33 0.33)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.31 0.31)26.92% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (0.401 0.4)62.25% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 51.71%
    New York City FC 26.1%
    Draw 22.19%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY City

FC Cincinnati
57.9%
Draw
15.8%
New York City FC
26.3%
57
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
NY City
3-2
Cincinnati
Ilencic (16'), Martinez (65'), Rodriguez (75' pen.)
Sands (41'), Martins (66'), Perea (84'), Gray (90+1'), Wolf (90+14')
Acosta (69' pen.), Baird (90+6')
Kelsy (34')
Aug 6, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Cincinnati
4-2
NY City
Bucha (79'), Rodrigo Asad (82'), Kubo (86'), Santos (89')
Nwobodo (78')
Rodriguez (25'), Mijatovic (61')
Fernandez (33'), Wolf (90+3')
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY City
Boupendza (6'), Moreno (52'), Hagglund (59')
Miazga (45'), Kubo (50')

Risa (88'), Perea (90+2')
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Cincinnati
Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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