Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
31.64% | 27.87% | 40.49% |
Both teams to score 47.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.68% | 58.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.06% | 78.94% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.17% | 33.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.5% | 70.5% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% | 28.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% | 63.94% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |