Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Clermont0 - 2Marseille
We said: Clermont 0-1 Marseille
When Mohamed Bayo joined Lille during the summer transfer window, it left a massive void in the Clermont attack, one that they have yet to fill. Meanwhile, Marseille have been one of the most formidable defensive units in Ligue 1 to break down all season, and we do not believe they will have much difficulty containing a Clermont squad lacking in quality and creativity. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
12.8% ( -0.05) | 20.31% ( -0.01) | 66.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
