Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Clermont |
64.47% ( -0.02) | 20.95% ( 0.01) | 14.58% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.02% ( -0) | 47.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.85% ( -0) | 70.15% ( 0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% ( -0) | 14.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.17% ( -0.01) | 41.82% ( 0.02) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% ( 0.02) | 44.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.18% ( 0.01) | 80.82% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 12.13% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 64.47% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.95% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |