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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
3 - 1
Lorient

Kolasinac (38'), Sanchez (53'), Veretout (59')
Under (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Lorient

 We expect a closely-fought affair at Stade Velodrome on Saturday, but the hosts should have just about enough to squeeze out a sixth successive league win. Lorient possess more than enough firepower to score against Tudor's side, but Marseille are a settled unit at present and will have vociferous support on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
63.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6%64.4% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5%12.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)39.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 63.75%
    Lorient 16.02%
    Draw 20.22%
MarseilleDrawLorient
2-0 @ 10.6%
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.75%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.22%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.02%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
83.0%
Draw
9.4%
Lorient
7.5%
53
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Lorient
0-3
Marseille

Lemoine (56')
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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