Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
