MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 09:20:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 2
Pumas

Meneses (65', 77')
Fernandez (18'), Guzman (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dinenno (36'), Jose Gonzalez (90+6')
Lopez (19'), Alves (71'), Caicedo (71'), Ortiz (76')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 3-1 Toluca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-1 Queretaro
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawPumas
50.63% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 24.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 25.11% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (0.056999999999995 0.06)47.54% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25% (0.056000000000001 0.06)69.75% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.051999999999992 0.05)18.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (0.087000000000003 0.09)50.21% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)33.17% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)69.77% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 50.63%
    Pumas 25.11%
    Draw 24.26%
TolucaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 25.11%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2022 3am
Pumas
5-0
Toluca
Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')
Nov 21, 2021 11pm
Toluca
1-2
Pumas
Ortega (62' pen.)
Sambueza (2'), Estrada (23'), Garcia (83'), Chavez (90+6')
Lopez (16'), Dinenno (50')
Diogo (21'), Lopez (31'), Lira (34'), Dinenno (82'), Ortiz (85'), Corozo (90+8')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Toluca
2-1
Pumas
Sambueza (20'), Canelo (70')
Lopez (15'), Rigonato Rodrigues (68'), Canelo (72'), Garcia (83')
Dinenno (8' pen.)
Garcia Hernandez (56'), Lopez (56')
Mozo (15'), Garcia Hernandez (75'), Dinenno (90+7')
Feb 14, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-0
Pumas
Canelo (88')
Barbieri (46')

Alvarez (41'), Torres (55'), Vasquez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 6pm
Pumas
1-0
Toluca
Garcia (75' og.)
Mozo (25')

Estrada (51'), Sauro (65'), Ortega (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1513113692740
2TolucaToluca1595133141932
3Tigres159332213930
4MonterreyMonterrey168442418628
5Atletico San Luis158252518726
6PumasPumas157441813525
7Club TijuanaTijuana157442123-225
8Club AmericaAmerica157352516924
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara156452214822
10Atlas155551521-620
11Club Leon153842021-117
12PueblaPuebla1642101629-1314
13NecaxaNecaxa153481925-613
14PachucaPachuca153481926-713
15MazatlanMazatlan152761018-813
16Juarez1541102035-1513
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna152491025-1510
18QueretaroQueretaro1523101027-179


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!