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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Rochdale

Crawley
1 - 0
Rochdale

Nadesan (18')
Davies (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 2-0 Rochdale

Despite having little to play for on Saturday, we can see the hosts coming out on top against a struggling Rochdale side that are lacking in quality all over the pitch in recent weeks. Crawley were excellent last time out against a solid Swindon side, and if they can perform anywhere near those levels, then they should come out victorious fairly comfortably in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crawley Town.

Result
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
44.44%26.4%29.17%
Both teams to score 50.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72%58.28%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.8%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 44.44%
    Rochdale 29.17%
    Draw 26.4%
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Crawley vs Rochdale

Crawley Town
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
Rochdale
4-1
Crawley
Tanser (33'), Henderson (38', 88'), Andrew (93')
Elliott (76')
Tomlin (7')
Sep 6, 2014 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Rochdale

McLeod (74')
Done (10'), Vincenti (54', 66'), Andrew (75')
Andrew (77'), Rafferty (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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