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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Stockport County

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Stockport

Pell (48')
Pell (10'), Woodyard (63'), Little (71'), Chislett (76'), Biler (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (16'), Byrne (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport have the joint-highest points total of any side in the league over the course of the past 15 games, and we expect them to continue their fantastic recent form on Saturday. Wimbledon will be no pushovers, but they have struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks and have won just one of their last six League Two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
26.01% (0.317 0.32) 26.47% (-0.209 -0.21) 47.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.848 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (0.968 0.97)55.64% (-0.973 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (0.786 0.79)76.79% (-0.78999999999999 -0.79)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (0.809 0.81)36.79% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (0.801 0.8)73.58% (-0.804 -0.8)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.36499999999999 0.36)23.43% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.533 0.53)57.42% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.01%
    Stockport County 47.51%
    Draw 26.46%
AFC WimbledonDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.01%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 9.08% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.084 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.51%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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