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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Colchester
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Akinde (51' pen.)
Chambers (11'), Tovide (36'), Akinde (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davison (67'), Chislett (89')
Currie (23'), Tzanev (51'), (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

At the risk of plying their trade outside of the Football League for the first time since 1992, former Colchester City player Johnnie Jackson could once again return to haunt his former employers, as Wimbledon take another step towards an immediate return to League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
42.8% (0.153 0.15) 27.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 29.78% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-0.16 -0.16)57.24% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-0.129 -0.13)78.09% (0.13 0.13)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.218 -0.22)34.63% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.231 -0.23)71.35% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.8%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.78%
    Draw 27.42%
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon

Colchester United
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
AFC Wimbledon
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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