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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Bolton
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (2')
Clarke (67'), Gibson (88'), Finley (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite their contrasting league positions, Bristol Rovers have matched Bolton for points over the last three contests. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils, bouncing back from the disappointment of their FA Cup exit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
67.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)11.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.012 -0.01)41.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.012 -0.01)78.2% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 67.32%
    Bristol Rovers 13.73%
    Draw 18.94%
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.1%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Bolton vs Bristol Rovers

Bolton Wanderers
52.0%
Draw
24.0%
Bristol Rovers
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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